Western Disturbance to Affect Jammu and Kashmir from Tuesday Morning
A new Western Disturbance is set to influence weather conditions across Jammu and Kashmir starting Tuesday morning, with its initial impact expected over the higher reaches of North Kashmir between 8 a.m. and 10 a.m. The system, described as quick-moving, will gradually expand its influence to the plains and other regions through the day.
According to Kashmir Weather, an independent meteorological platform, light to moderate snowfall is expected in higher altitudes, while plains may receive light rain showers by the afternoon and evening hours.
Detailed Timeline of the Weather System
- Tuesday Morning (8 a.m.–10 a.m.):
The Western Disturbance will first affect the mountainous regions of North Kashmir, including areas like Gurez, Kupwara, and Sonamarg. Light snowfall is anticipated in these regions early in the day. - Tuesday Afternoon to Evening:
As the system advances, other parts of the Kashmir Valley and the plains may begin experiencing light rainfall. Districts such as Srinagar, Budgam, Baramulla, and Anantnag could witness brief spells of rain by late afternoon or evening. - Tuesday Night to Early Wednesday:
The weather is expected to remain cloudy with intermittent precipitation in some areas. Higher elevations will continue to receive light to moderate snowfall, while lower regions may see drizzles or cloudy skies. - Wednesday (Post 8 a.m.):
By Wednesday morning, the system will begin to weaken. Most regions will see significant improvement, although isolated brief showers may occur in a few pockets during the day.
Snowfall Expected Only in Higher Reaches
Despite the arrival of the disturbance, snowfall in the plains is unlikely, primarily due to the short duration and moderate strength of the system. Meteorologists suggest that temperatures will remain above the freezing mark in the plains, preventing snowfall accumulation.
However, higher reaches and mountain passes—such as Gulmarg, Sonamarg, Gurez, and upper reaches of Shopian and Kulgam—are likely to experience light to moderate snowfall. Travelers and residents in these regions are advised to exercise caution, especially along mountain roads where slippery conditions may develop.
Weather to Improve Mid-Week
Following the brief spell of unstable weather, mainly dry conditions are expected to prevail across Jammu and Kashmir for the next 10 days. This will bring welcome relief to residents and tourists, particularly as the region transitions toward the early winter season.
Daytime temperatures are likely to remain mild, while nights will turn colder, especially in areas like Pahalgam and Gulmarg where sub-zero readings are common during early November.
Impact on Travel and Daily Activities
With the system being short-lived, significant travel disruptions are not expected. However, travelers heading to mountainous or border areas are advised to stay updated on local advisories.
- Tourists visiting Gulmarg or Sonamarg may experience brief snow spells, adding scenic charm but also possible slippery conditions.
- Flight operations at Srinagar Airport are not likely to be affected significantly, though brief delays due to low visibility cannot be ruled out.
Expert Forecast Insights
According to Kashmir Weather, this Western Disturbance is typical of early November, bringing short-duration rain or snow events to the region. The disturbance is part of a series of weak western systems that usually mark the beginning of winter weather patterns in the Himalayas.
Meteorological experts also note that a dry spell of about 10 days will follow this system, allowing the region’s environment to stabilize before the next active weather phase arrives later in November.
Key Takeaways
- System Onset: Tuesday morning (Nov 4, 2025)
- Initial Impact Area: Higher reaches of North Kashmir
- Plains Impact: By Tuesday afternoon to evening
- Snowfall: Light to moderate in upper reaches only
- Weather Improvement: From Wednesday morning onward
- Next 10 Days: Mainly dry weather expected across J&K
Final Outlook
This Western Disturbance will bring a brief but noticeable change to the weather across Jammu and Kashmir, marking one of the first widespread precipitation events of November. While snow lovers in the higher reaches will enjoy fresh flakes, residents in the plains can expect light showers and cooler evenings.
The weather is expected to settle quickly, leading to a prolonged dry and calm phase—ideal for both tourism and outdoor activities across the Valley.
