Jammu & Kashmir Weather Update: September 28, 2025 – Forecast and Advisory for Farmers & Residents
The Meteorological Centre Srinagar has issued an important weather forecast and advisory for Jammu and Kashmir covering the period from September 26 to October 10, 2025. The department has predicted a mix of generally dry weather conditions followed by a spell of rainfall and light snowfall over higher reaches in early October.
This comprehensive update is crucial for farmers, orchardists, and the general public as it highlights not just the upcoming weather scenario but also provides timely agricultural advisories to safeguard crops and ensure proper storage of harvested produce.
Detailed Weather Forecast
The forecast is divided into four main phases:
1. September 26 – 30: Generally Dry Weather
The last few days of September are expected to remain mostly dry across Jammu and Kashmir. This period will be favorable for farmers and travelers, with no major weather disruptions. Clear skies during the daytime will allow for smooth harvesting activities, while the nights may begin to feel cooler due to the gradual fall in temperatures.
2. October 1 – 4: Continuation of Dry Spell (till October 4 evening)
The dry weather trend is likely to continue till the evening of October 4. This extended dry phase provides a crucial window for agricultural activities, especially for harvesting paddy and horticultural crops. The meteorological department has strongly advised farmers to take maximum advantage of this period.
By early October, the temperature will start showing a gradual decline—a transition into the autumn season in Kashmir. This will particularly affect early morning and evening temperatures, signaling the approach of colder days ahead.
3. October 5 – 7: Cloudy Weather with Rain & Light Snow
This is the most significant part of the forecast. Between October 5 and 7, the region is expected to witness generally cloudy weather accompanied by intermittent light to moderate rainfall at scattered places. Importantly, light snowfall is also predicted over higher reaches, marking the first signs of winter conditions in the mountains.
This weather shift may temporarily disrupt outdoor activities, including farming operations, transportation on mountain passes, and tourism-related plans. The fall in daytime temperatures is expected to become more pronounced during this phase.
4. October 8 – 10: Return of Dry Weather
Following the brief spell of wet conditions, the weather is likely to turn generally dry once again between October 8 and 10. This return to dry weather will benefit post-rain farm activities and may also bring relief to travelers.
Advisory Issued for Farmers
The MET Centre Srinagar has issued a set of important advisories for the farming community:
- Continue Harvesting of Paddy & Horticultural Crops
- Farmers are strongly advised to continue harvesting their paddy fields, apple orchards, and other horticultural produce before October 4.
- The dry spell till October 4 provides an excellent opportunity to safely complete harvesting operations.
- Ensure Safe Storage of Crops
- Since intermittent rainfall is expected from October 5 onwards, farmers should focus on the safe storage of already harvested crops to prevent damage from moisture and fungal infections.
- Other Farm Operations
- The advisory also emphasizes carrying out other farm-related activities such as threshing, grading, and packaging of horticultural produce during this dry phase.
- Temperature Alert
- A gradual fall in day temperature from September 29 onwards has been predicted.
- A significant drop in temperatures is expected on October 5 and 6, coinciding with rainfall and snowfall activity. Farmers and residents are advised to prepare accordingly.
Implications of the Forecast
The latest forecast has multiple implications for different sectors:
1. Agricultural Sector
- Paddy harvesting in Kashmir usually peaks during late September and early October. The timely advisory ensures farmers complete harvesting before wet conditions set in.
- Apple growers, especially in South Kashmir and North Kashmir, should prioritize plucking, grading, and safe storage to avoid damage.
2. Transport and Travel
- Dry weather till October 4 means smooth road connectivity across most parts of J&K.
- However, the predicted snowfall in higher reaches (such as Gulmarg, Sonamarg, Zojila, Peer Ki Gali, and other mountain passes) from October 5–7 could temporarily affect vehicular movement.
3. Tourism
- The first spell of October rain and snowfall often adds to the scenic beauty of Kashmir, attracting tourists.
- While plains will experience cloudy skies and showers, snowfall in upper reaches is likely to mark the beginning of the winter tourism season.
4. Public Health
- The fall in temperature may trigger an increase in seasonal ailments such as cough, cold, and flu. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions, particularly during the sharp drop in temperatures expected on October 5 and 6.
Seasonal Transition: Autumn to Early Winter
September and October are months of seasonal transition in Jammu and Kashmir. The weather gradually shifts from the warm days of late summer to the chilly evenings of autumn.
- Farmers typically complete their annual agricultural cycle during this time.
- The arrival of light snow in higher reaches indicates the onset of early winter conditions.
- By mid-October, the famous Chinar trees across Kashmir begin to change colors, marking the vibrant autumn season locally known as Harud.
Expert Opinion
Meteorologists at the MET Centre Srinagar have stressed that such transitions are normal for this time of the year. They highlighted that the short spell of rain and snow in early October is not unusual, but what stands out this year is the advisory issued well in advance for farmers, which will help minimize potential crop losses.
Experts also pointed out that climate variability in recent years has made accurate forecasts even more valuable. Farmers who closely follow such advisories can make timely decisions regarding crop harvesting and storage.
Key Highlights of J&K Weather Update (28 Sept 2025)
- 26–30 Sept: Dry weather across J&K.
- 1–4 Oct: Dry weather continues till October 4 evening.
- 5–7 Oct: Cloudy skies with intermittent rain and light snow over higher reaches.
- 8–10 Oct: Return of dry weather.
- Advisory for Farmers: Complete harvesting of paddy and horticultural crops before October 4; ensure safe storage; expect a significant fall in temperatures.
Conclusion
The Jammu and Kashmir weather forecast from September 26 to October 10, 2025, paints a picture of a mostly dry spell with a short but significant wet phase in early October. While this brings opportunities for farmers to safely harvest crops before rainfall begins, it also signals the start of colder days ahead.
The MET Centre Srinagar’s proactive advisory is especially helpful for the farming community, ensuring preparedness and minimizing losses. For the general public, the brief spell of rain and snow will add to the charm of the Kashmir valley, while also reminding residents to brace for the approaching winter season.
✅ Stay updated with the latest weather bulletins from the MET Centre Srinagar for timely advisories.
