The Meteorological Centre Srinagar has issued the latest weather forecast for Jammu and Kashmir, highlighting a mix of dry weather, scattered rain showers, thunderstorms and gusty winds over the coming days. According to the advisory, most parts of Jammu and Kashmir will witness generally dry weather initially, followed by spells of rain and thundershowers between May 19 and May 21.
Residents across both the Kashmir Division and Jammu Division have been advised to stay alert during afternoon and evening hours when weather activity is expected to intensify at scattered locations. The advisory also warns about possible lightning, gusty winds and rising temperatures in the plains of Jammu region.
In this detailed weather update, here is everything you need to know about the latest forecast, expected temperatures, rainfall activity, safety advisories and its impact on daily life and farming activities across Jammu and Kashmir.
J&K Weather Forecast From May 17 to May 28
The latest weather bulletin issued by the MET Centre Srinagar provides a day-wise outlook for the Union Territory.
Weather Forecast for May 17–18
According to the department, weather conditions across Jammu and Kashmir are expected to remain generally dry during May 17 and May 18.
Clear skies and sunshine are likely to dominate most areas during these two days. Day temperatures may rise gradually, especially in the plains of Jammu division where hot and dry weather conditions could prevail.
People planning outdoor activities, travel or agricultural work can expect mostly stable weather during this period.
Weather Forecast for May 19–21
From May 19 onward, weather conditions are expected to change.
The forecast predicts:
- Partly to generally cloudy weather
- Light rain showers at scattered to many places
- Possibility of thunderstorms
- Gusty winds during afternoon and evening hours
The Meteorological Department has warned that some places in both Kashmir and Jammu divisions may witness thunder, lightning and strong gusty winds with speeds reaching 40–50 kmph.
These weather conditions are likely to affect outdoor activities, local transport and farming operations in several districts.
Weather Forecast for May 22–25
During May 22 to May 25, the weather is expected to improve slightly.
The forecast indicates:
- Generally dry weather during morning and forenoon hours
- Brief rain showers possible during afternoon or late afternoon
- Rain activity likely only at a few places
This means mornings are likely to remain pleasant and mostly dry, while isolated showers may occur later in the day due to localized weather development.
Tourists and travelers should still keep weather changes in mind, especially in hilly and vulnerable areas.
Weather Forecast for May 26–28
The MET Centre has predicted generally dry weather conditions from May 26 to May 28 across Jammu and Kashmir.
Most regions are expected to witness stable weather with sunshine and warmer daytime temperatures.
However, weather conditions in mountainous regions can still change suddenly, so travelers are advised to stay updated with official forecasts.
Advisory Issued by MET Centre Srinagar
The Meteorological Centre Srinagar has also released several important advisories for the public.
Thunderstorm and Lightning Warning
Authorities have warned about the possibility of:
- Thunderstorms
- Lightning strikes
- Gusty winds reaching 40–50 kmph
These weather events are likely during May 19–21 at a few places in Kashmir Division and Jammu Division.
People are advised to avoid open spaces during thunderstorms and remain indoors during lightning activity.
Boating and Shikara Advisory
The advisory specifically mentions suspension or avoidance of boating and shikara riding during afternoon and late afternoon hours.
Strong winds and sudden weather changes over lakes and water bodies can create dangerous conditions for tourists and locals.
People visiting Dal Lake, Wular Lake and other water bodies should strictly follow local administration and weather department instructions.
Advice for Farmers
The Meteorological Department has advised farmers to continue agricultural and farming operations till the afternoon of May 19.
Dry weather during the initial days provides a favorable window for:
- Crop maintenance
- Irrigation work
- Harvesting activities
- Orchard management
- Field preparation
However, after May 19 afternoon, farmers are advised to remain cautious due to possible rainfall, gusty winds and thunderstorm activity.
Strong winds can damage standing crops and fruit orchards in some areas.
Rise in Temperature Expected
The weather department has also forecast a gradual increase in day temperatures.
According to the advisory:
- Day temperatures may rise by 2°C to 4°C at many places
- Plains of Jammu division may experience hot and dry weather
The rise in temperature may lead to uncomfortable afternoon conditions in several districts, especially low-lying areas of Jammu.
People are advised to:
- Stay hydrated
- Avoid direct sunlight during peak afternoon hours
- Wear light cotton clothing
- Take precautions against heat-related discomfort
Impact on Kashmir Division
In Kashmir Valley, weather conditions are expected to remain mostly pleasant during the forecast period.
However, occasional rain showers and thunderstorms during May 19–21 may affect:
- Tourist movement
- Local transportation
- Outdoor events
- Mountain travel
Gusty winds can also lead to temporary disruptions in some areas.
Tourists planning visits to Gulmarg, Pahalgam, Sonamarg and other destinations should keep checking local weather updates regularly.
Impact on Jammu Division
The Jammu division is likely to witness warmer conditions during the coming days.
Plains areas may experience:
- Rising temperatures
- Hot and dry weather
- Occasional gusty winds
- Isolated thunderstorms
Some hilly districts may also receive brief rain showers during the active weather phase between May 19 and May 21.
Residents are advised to remain alert during afternoon and evening hours when thunderstorm activity is more likely.
Travel Advisory for Tourists
Tourists visiting Jammu and Kashmir during this period are advised to monitor weather updates regularly.
Travelers should:
- Avoid unnecessary movement during thunderstorms
- Follow traffic and weather advisories
- Avoid boating during windy conditions
- Carry light woolens for higher altitude areas
- Stay updated about road and weather conditions
Mountain weather can change rapidly, especially during afternoon hours.
Importance of Weather Forecasts
Weather forecasts play an important role in helping residents, farmers, tourists and authorities prepare for changing weather conditions.
Advance alerts regarding rain, thunderstorms and gusty winds help reduce risks associated with:
- Flash storms
- Road accidents
- Lightning incidents
- Crop damage
- Boating accidents
The latest advisory from MET Centre Srinagar is aimed at ensuring public safety and minimizing disruptions.
Safety Tips During Thunderstorms
People are advised to follow these important precautions during thunderstorm activity:
- Stay indoors during lightning
- Avoid standing under trees
- Disconnect electrical appliances if needed
- Avoid open fields and water bodies
- Keep emergency contacts handy
- Avoid unnecessary travel during intense weather activity
Drivers should also exercise caution due to reduced visibility and slippery roads during rain showers.
The latest J&K weather update suggests a mix of dry and unstable weather conditions during the second half of May 2026. While most areas will remain dry initially, rain showers, thunderstorms and gusty winds are expected between May 19 and May 21.
The Meteorological Centre Srinagar has issued advisories for farmers, tourists and the general public to stay alert during afternoon and evening hours.
Residents are encouraged to follow official weather updates and take necessary precautions, especially during thunderstorm activity and strong winds.
With temperatures also expected to rise across several areas, especially Jammu plains, people should prepare for warmer weather conditions in the coming days.
